August 02, 2017
The National Institute of Justice (NIJ) awarded IMPAQ International two prizes from their Real-Time Crime Forecasting Challenge. In the Large Business Category, IMPAQ made the best possible prediction for the location of burglaries occurring in Portland, Oregon for 1-month and 2-month periods.
The goal of the challenge was to develop algorithms that advance spatial-temporal crime forecasting through the use of data from one police jurisdiction. All teams competing in the challenge were given historical calls-for-service data for burglaries from the Portland Police Bureau, and over a number of months, developed forecasting technology to predict when and where crimes would occur next. IMPAQ’s team used a Self-Exciting Point Process forecast model to predict where the largest concentrations of crimes would occur.
"IMPAQ’s win represents our team’s ability to develop and apply innovative forecasting methods to address important challenges in crime and justice," Senior Vice President Dr. James Moore said. "By providing these forecasts, our team of mathematicians and economists are helping advance spatial-temporal crime forecasting methods."
Winners were selected from submissions by five students, forty-two small teams/businesses, and fifteen large business. Learn more about the challenge here.
About the National Institute of Justice (NIJ)
The NIJ, an interdisciplinary research organization within the US Department of Justice, focuses on promoting research that will provide the criminal justice community with knowledge and tools that will support their workforce and promote public safety.
About IMPAQ International
With research studies, implementation assistance, surveys and data collection, advanced analytics and technology solutions, and communications strategies, IMPAQ helps governments, businesses, foundations, non-profits, and universities evaluate and enhance their programs and policies.